Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000808 0.000921 0.001040 0.001175 0.001323 0.001480 0.001660
2025-03-16 0.000620 0.000773 0.000947 0.001156 0.001400 0.001674 0.002003
2025-03-23 0.000522 0.000693 0.000895 0.001149 0.001457 0.001813 0.002255
2025-03-30 0.000451 0.000633 0.000858 0.001150 0.001515 0.001951 0.002505
2025-04-06 0.000390 0.000578 0.000817 0.001138 0.001552 0.002057 0.002714
2025-04-13 0.000337 0.000525 0.000773 0.001117 0.001571 0.002139 0.002892
2025-04-20 0.000309 0.000503 0.000767 0.001142 0.001647 0.002291 0.003159
2025-04-27 0.000282 0.000479 0.000756 0.001158 0.001710 0.002427 0.003406
2025-05-04 0.000251 0.000445 0.000726 0.001145 0.001733 0.002509 0.003585
2025-05-11 0.000221 0.000410 0.000692 0.001124 0.001742 0.002570 0.003736
2025-05-18 0.000204 0.000394 0.000685 0.001138 0.001799 0.002698 0.003977
2025-05-25 0.000186 0.000374 0.000671 0.001142 0.001841 0.002804 0.004190
2025-06-01 0.000161 0.000341 0.000633 0.001109 0.001829 0.002836 0.004305
2025-06-08 0.000140 0.000311 0.000598 0.001077 0.001816 0.002866 0.004418
2025-06-15 0.000126 0.000294 0.000582 0.001075 0.001846 0.002957 0.004615
2025-06-22 0.000115 0.000278 0.000569 0.001074 0.001878 0.003050 0.004817
2025-06-29 0.000103 0.000261 0.000550 0.001064 0.001894 0.003120 0.004986
2025-07-06 0.000091 0.000242 0.000526 0.001044 0.001894 0.003165 0.005120
2025-07-13 0.000086 0.000237 0.000529 0.001067 0.001962 0.003312 0.005404
2025-07-20 0.000080 0.000230 0.000526 0.001082 0.002017 0.003440 0.005663
2025-07-27 0.000072 0.000216 0.000509 0.001070 0.002028 0.003501 0.005824
2025-08-03 0.000063 0.000201 0.000488 0.001050 0.002024 0.003540 0.005952
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000195 0.000486 0.001063 0.002076 0.003666 0.006211